Saturday, 30 December 2017

穷小子's 2017 accomplishments

We are coming towards the end of 2017. It had been a while since 穷小子's post, so what is he "busying" at?

2017 is a bullish year as 穷小子 would say. Despite with all the bad news, all doomsayers negative headlines, DJI managed to hit more than 25% YTD and STI more than 17% YTD. Furthermore, Singapore economy grows 5.2% in Q3, with 2017 forecast raised to 3-3.5%. With such a good run this year, 穷小子 actually sitting on his current portfolio without much major changes to it.

Below are the quick updates since 穷小子's last post.

Had divested about 30% of OCBC shares from his portfolio. Mainly is to take profits, and is already 1.3x times more than book value. In another words, it is expensive now.

Participated in its rights exercises, and applied for excess as well. The current price is higher than its pre-XR price, seems had made the right decision on getting more. CCT is still the highest holding in 穷小子's REITs portfolio, and became the second highest in the overall portfolio, just behind OCBC. Yes, despite after 30% divestment of OCBC, OCBC still has the highest weightage.

The IPO trends is back with especially most of them are listed in the second half of the year.

  • NetLink Trust, Got some in the IPO and bought some in the open market. Seems to be a monopolised business, for now at least. Main reason is buy for it stability. True enough, the price doesn't fluctuate much from its IPO price.
  • Cromwell Reit, may not be a best of the REITs, but definitely is a good tool to have an exposure in the Europe sector. Main reason is for its good diversification with 74 properties, and exposure to non-local business.
  • Keppel-KBS Reit, pretty much same reasons as Cromwell Reit, to have an exposure in foreign countries. Unfortunately, 穷小子 didn't manage to get any of it from the IPO. Intending to buy from the open market, but the forex spread via the brokerage is too much, hence give up on this REIT. Will look into this again if the price is at around its book value.

Invested a small amount in ThaiBev few weeks back for a start, with seeing the potential on its growth. Mr Market doesn't seems to agree much on the deal with the amount they spent on acquiring Sabeco. Looking to average down if opportunity comes.

穷小子 "closed shop" for year 2017 after the investment in ThaiBev.
Year 2017
Total dividends collected: S$5,129.17
Average dividends per month: S$427.44
Average dividends per day: S$14.05

STI index increased by 18.13%
STI ETF increased by 20.76%
穷小子's portfolio increased by 23.76% (beats STI ETF finally)
Looking forward to 2018, Cheers!!~

Wait a minute, so what 穷小子 has been doing for the past few months?
穷小子 got addicted in Carousell-ing. 穷小子 had an account with Carousell for more than 2 years ago, but started using it recently only.
It might be an useless and old item but it may be a precious and new item to others. Why not share them around and still can make a small cash out of it, rather than throwing them into your bin.

*Not advertising for Carousell

Saturday, 1 July 2017

穷小子's 2017 mid-year accomplishment

We are in the mid of 2017. Many things had happened during the past 6 months, especially with the interest rate hike last month. What 穷小子 had accomplished?

Financial's achievement
Attended quite a few of AGMs this year. Fraser Centrepoint Trust, CapitaComm Trust, and OCBC. Learned quite a few insights from the management of each company. If not due to overseas and other commitments, 穷小子 may have attended more. Anyway there will always be next year.

Not much of purchase in 2017. Banks and REITs are "expensive" for now, REITs price doesn't drop much despite of the interest rates, hence which left with Telcos only. Yes, it is a stormy period for telcos industry now, hope that the brave will be rewarded. They are still in the red, but thankfully only bought in small each time and now sitting comfortably at about 5% yield.

Lady luck is on 穷小子. He managed to get Sanli shares from the IPO. Sold immediately during the pre-open market on the very first day of trading. Closed the position with almost 78% of profits. Thanks for Mr IPO for his 3 chilli ratings.

Health's accomplishments
Only participated 1 run so far this year with 2XU Half-Marathon. Taken supplements during the whole run, and managed to complete the half-marathon without any cramps within 3 hours finally. A Personal achievement achieved. Thinking of hanging up his running shoes and look for other sports to keep himself fit.
IPPT still have not clear yet for this year. Starts to train now before his birthday cycle ends.

Self-Improvement's achievement
Obtained a certifications for the professional area related. Next is to target to complete Beating the Street by Peter Lynch by end of the year.

Year 2017
Total dividends collected: S$2,457.18
Average dividends per month: S$409.53
Average dividends per day: S$13.58

Sunday, 30 April 2017

April's Portfolio update

Finally we are at the last day of April 2017. As most of the companies had their Annual report out and AGM done, it is time for 穷小子, to update his portfolio.
Don't have any much significant changes to his portfolio to date, except for the small purchase of Singtel and Starhub. Main reason to scoop this small portion is due to the recent sell down after the TPG's Australia news and average down, on Singtel and Starhub respectively.

Year 2017
Total dividends: S$2457.18
Average dividends per month: S$491.43
Average dividends per day: S$16.27

Oil & Gas

Saturday, 29 April 2017

OCBC 80th Annual General Meeting

穷小子 not intending to blog about this initially, but there is something he must share. Attended the AGM yesterday, and OCBC's CEO shook hands with 穷小子. Wahaha!! Not that 穷小子 is some kind of VIP, but the shaking of hands is because Mr Tsien is courtesy and polite, and greeted us with a Good Afternoon. Is a simple gesture, but is the effort which he had made counts. Feels so appreciated when he says Good Afternoon and Thanks us for coming. He don't have to do so, but he did. Applause!!
He walked from the front row and to the walkway column, where 穷小子 is sitted, to shake hands with each of us. By the way, all of these were happened very early, 10 mins before the financial performance presentation starts, and very much before the AGM.

With the presentation of the financial performance start..

穷小子 had to admit that he got lost when CEO is presenting the annual financial performance, so wouldn't share much of that in details. 穷小子 is non-financial background after all. Lol.

CEO shared with us that oil price at $70 will be required for the Oil and Gas industry to break even, and $60 for the lenders to break even. To further supplement, CEO also mentioned that OCBC can't confirm if the worst for O&G is over, but pointing out that 2017 will be a better year than the year before.

A shareholder question about the status of the divestment of United Engineers, and will there be any special dividends after the divestment?
- CEO answered that it is premature to discuss on the divestment status right now.

Another shareholder pointed out that continuation of this news will demoralized the shareholders and the public. Is there any ways or methods which OCBC's management can assist or expedite on the progress?
- Although OCBC is a stakeholder of UE Limited, UE works as an individual entity and will leave the decisions to UE's management.

China is second largest contributor to the profits after Singapore.

and so the AGM begins...

Management commented that higher interest rates is good for banks generally.

Chairman commented that OCBC CEO's remuneration had the most reduction among the 3 banks' CEO.

Why is there no Scrip dividend? Another shareholder commented that it is disturbing that some years have and some do not, which resulted with odd shares remains.
- Chairman answered that OCBC is in a strong capital position. This decision allows them to deploy the cash productively, and secondly, scrip will caused the diluting of share prices.
Ironically, most of us want scrip. Hmm, does this means the company has many money lying around? If dividend payout without scrip options means that OCBC have many cash, so does that means OCBC have less cash if with scrip options, and which means bad for the company? Guess there is no one plus one kind of direct answer. Management had to review the company's capital position at the right time to decide whether to payout in scrip or not.
Can see that most of the shareholders are chanting, "We want Scrip! We want Scrip!" Very unlikely that there will be any scrip dividends for 2017 after hearing from Chairman and CEO.

A shareholder asked why isn't there any 80th anniversary special dividends? The same question was raised during the last AGM.
- Same answer. The management will review its capital at the right time and decide accordingly. Guess that means they had decided not to give.
On a second thought to this, if the capital review on the scrip dividend decided to pay out dividends in cash, then it is contradicting to the above as in why not use the capital to give special dividends? Hmm. Or at least increase the dividends, which 穷小子 is expecting an increase in dividend. This link to another question, but Chairman stated that we should be looking at the payout ratio. Is like egg first or chicken first. Haha. But anyway, the trust is still with the OCBC's directors and CEO, and believe their decisions are made based on the company's best interest.

There is no "hungry ghosts" in this year's AGM. The doors are open and all the "hungry ghosts" are allow to get their snacks sets before the AGM started. This prevented the ugly scene which was experience last year. The whole AGM is enjoyable until Resolution 4(b). A lady keep pressing questions on the diversity the director, e.g. gender, race, nationalities, etc. Chairman had answered them, but she keep pressing on. The lady is completely wasting everyone's time. What is the point of asking these questions? Are you planning to enter the Board of Directors?

As 穷小子 is leaving the AGM, he had decided that OCBC is safe with the management's hands, especially with CEO's spearheading the businesses' operations. Until then, see you in 2018.


Tuesday, 25 April 2017

Happy First Birthday, Poorlearnrich

Happy First Birthday, 穷小子!!

There is no birth date for 穷小子 literally of course, but it will be his first anniversary since his first post. Times flies, while still remembering from how much he had learned along the way for the past year. It has been a while since the last post, and just saw that Poorlearnrich is moving towards 50k views. Thanks for all the supports.. ^^

Pardon for no much significant posts for these past few months, perhaps there may be nothing much to talk (complains) about when Mr Market is in good mood. Market is still not stable as usual, with the UK's early election, tension between US, China and North Korea, French presidential election, and the list continues. Nonethelessly, STI managed to hit a high gain of 10.73% year to date, before coming down to today closed at 9.83%. A nice run so far for 2017.

Attended few AGM this year and quite glad with the results, especially with CapitaComm and Mapletree Comm. Never tired to emphasis again that these are my right choice last year. Hehe.
On the other side, Singapore's Telcos industry is still worrisome, with the disappointing results and the top shareholders from M1 approached potential buyers to sell their combined stakes. This somehow gives 穷小子 an idea that the main shareholders are "begging" for buyers to buy from them and they want to get out as soon as possible. In normal circumstances, if a potential buyer makes an offer to buy, the company may became a gem to be discovered down the years, but M1 seems opposite now. Not trying to talk down M1 in here, but it happened. M1 is still about 10% of 穷小子's portfolio.
Added a small position of Starhub recently with a decent yield of about 5.6% if the payout remains at $0.16 per year. The main reason for this purchase is mainly to average down the price. As mentioned before, local Telco industry will be a long winter for the next few years, so current strategy is to average them down slowly.

Next is review on Noble again. Yes, 穷小子 said before that he will no longer covers Noble again, but this serves as an statement to reminds himself that he had made a right choice to cut it. Although is too late, $780 remaining still serves as a good use for 穷小子's expenses. Noble had announced shares consolidation last month, which 穷小子 had commented when he cut his loss and in his last post about Noble. What can be the next step? Issue rights again? Rinse and repeat? This time really is the last on Noble. :)

Most of the companies had reported their annual reports. 穷小子 will share his portfolio in his next post!!

Last but not least. 穷小子 just came back from his Turkey trip. It is a beautiful country must say, accompanied with a very long history. Shall try to share about it if had the time.